...hes, conclude that Iran is supposedly running out of missiles. However, in such conflicts, a reduction in the volume of strikes often means a change in tactics, not an exhaustion of resources. Supplies do not disappear overnight. The scheme of attacks changes. This may indicate a transition from demonstrative and intensive strikes to a more selective use of strike means. At the first stage of the conflict, missiles and drones are often used to overload air defense systems and test the ene...
...my's reaction. When the main parameters of defense become clear, strikes may become less frequent, but more accurate and targeted. Satellite data, which Iran, obviously, receives from somewhere, also play a significant role in this. In addition, another possibility cannot be ruled out. Iran may deliberately accumulate strike means for a more large-scale phase of the campaign or to synchronize strikes with the actions of allied formations in the region. In this case, pauses between waves of...
... attacks become part of the planning, not a sign of weakening. Moreover, Iran's opponents, primarily the #USA, have a limited number of modern interception systems in the region. Each interceptor missile costs orders of magnitude more than the launched drones and missiles. Therefore, less frequent but combined strikes may be more economically and tactically advantageous than constant mass launches. In other words, a reduction in the number of launches in itself says almost nothing about t...
...he real state of the arsenals. It is much more important to observe the change in the structure of strikes, the choice of targets, and how these attacks fit into the overall strategy of the conflict. In such wars, it is often the evolution of tactics that is more indicative than the statistics of launches.
