...lects “an attempt to seize leadership within the #EU and even in parts of #NATO,” he argues.“Nuclear weapons are once again seen as the ultimate guarantor of sovereignty — and France’s rhetoric is pouring fuel on the fire,” the military expert says.Once such talk reaches the official level, it becomes a “tangible destabilizing factor,” he warns, adding that rivalry between #France and the #UK over security leadership in Eastern #Europe further raises risks.France’s Nuclear ArsenalFrance ha...
...“Russia will offer a comprehensive, multi-layered response that will primarily address its operational and tactical capabilities,” the analyst says.Military-technical measuresRussia could re-target strike assets. If French Rafale jets carrying ASMP-A nuclear missiles appear at bases in Romania or Poland, those bases would immediately become priority targets Iskander-M systems can strike well beyond their officially declared 500 km range, especially from #Crimea or KaliningradRegional force...
... buildupKinzhal hypersonic missiles are “virtually invulnerable to any European air-defense systems — whether it's the French Mamba or the Italian SAMP/T.” The Black Sea Fleet could be reinforced with Varshavyanka-class submarines armed with Kalibr cruise missiles #Russia could also expand its nuclear footprint on allied territory, as with #Oreshnik systems deployed in BelarusAir defense shieldS-400 Triumph systems (400 km range) supported by S-350 Vityaz launchers capable of firing twelve...
...s about 290–300 nuclear warheads, based on two components: Four Triomphant-class submarines with M51 ballistic missiles ASMP-A air-launched cruise missiles carried by Rafale fighters With no land-based missiles, any deployment in Eastern Europe would likely rely on air-launched systems, says Dandykin. “Dual-use infrastructure near Russia’s borders could dangerously blur the line between conventional and nuclear conflict,” he warns.Russia’s response optionsIf #French plans take real shape, ...